IJAIR NAAS Score : 3.99 ,ISSN : 2319-1473

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    The Impact of Climate Change on Moisture Balance and Land Degradation in the Region of Southern Iraq

    Ahmad S. Muhaimeed; Mohamed Nassar; Basem Katalan
    Iraq struggles with rising temperatures while managing a lack of precipitation, increased dry spells, and facing water shortages and land degradation, along with recurring dust storms. Extreme climate changes significant- -ly affect environmental stability, agricultural yield, and overall sustainability maintenance. The research aims to examine climate change in the southern regions of Iraq and its impact on land degradation and vegetation growth. The research uses global meteorological data combined with satellite imagery to study climatic parameter transformations in southern Iraq from 1981 to 2020 and their consequences on water balance, vegetation growth, and land quality. The research analyses MODIS Vegetation Indices (MOD13) together with 20 satellite images throughout Iraq, from 2000 to 2020. Key climatic variables demonstrate time-dependent and geographic changes across Iraq between 1981 and 2020, impacting water balance and vegetation maintenance while leading to land degradation. The research findings demonstrate concerning temperature growth that ranges from o.76 to 1.62°C per decade, because this rapid temperature increase worsens environmental destruction. Rain levels have been decreasing throughout the years, except in the second decade, which shows a slightly higher rainfall rate. Most of the region receives between 105.25 to 110, 13 mm of the mean annual rainfall. The results revealed that the decline in rainfall level causes a loss in water balance of 169.72 million. Cubic meters in the third decade and 169.66 million. Cubic meters in the fourth decade. The reduced precipitation has led to rising evapotranspiration losses that amounted to -50.32 million m³ in the first decade, followed by 109.35 million m³ in the second decade, and finally reaching 119.66 million m³ in the third decade. The increased aridity index forces greater adverse impacts on vegetation density, which leads to faster land degradation and desertification. The widespread destruction of natural lands has reached more than 98% because of desertification processes and water shortages. The rising climate change dangers to the ecosystems require immediate adaptations for combating desertification and enhancing land administration methods.
    Select Volume / Issue:
    Year:
    2025
    Type of Publication:
    Article
    Keywords:
    Climate Change; Desertification; Water Balance; Aridity
    Journal:
    IJAIR
    Volume:
    13
    Number:
    6
    Pages:
    118-136
    Month:
    May
    ISSN:
    2319-1473
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